The political landscape, defined by a single issue. Europe has now taken centre stage thanks to David Cameron. Leaving European union likely have major negative consequences. United kingdom is deeply entangled with European union. The task of leaving won’t be easy or simple.
A single policy defined landscape twice in a row. The fiscal policy took centre stage defined the decade. Deeply the tight fiscal policy caused long-term economic damage. Twice the Labour party lost trust on the single issue of the day. Twice Labour lost as the result. Politicians are betting heavily to be rewarded for supporting this single issue. History shows us that many are walking into the same traps. Blamed for failures not sharing any success from the policy. Supporting it but failing to move the overton windows more towards their view. Ultimately failing to do their job correctly.
MPs who support are faced with explaining negative consequences away. Voters may not take kindly to falling living standards. Could end up blaming you for the decision. Being told you voted for it, we knew of the damage it would do but vote for me. Another side of the table many who support European membership, may take revenge later down the line. Both mainstream leaders could face serious battles over the direction. Remain supporting MPs in areas voting to leave could lose seats. Regardless if they support article 50, being blamed for a poor exit. Future leadership candidates could be defined by how they voted. Leave supporting MPs could be rejected due to the negative consequences. Iraq war leaves a similar mark on the landscape.
Iraq war was given far more scrutiny. Misinformation drummed up support, a majority supported the war. Now that majority has disappeared with many unwilling to challenge the decision. General public began to mistrust the Labour party as a result. Helped put the Labour party back in opposition. Defining the Labour leadership contest which gave Corbyn power. Conservatives likely suffer the same fate. Conservatives have avoided negative consequences due to fiscal policy. Remains to be seen if the party can repeat that over Europe.
Britain representative democracy elected to make decisions for people. Sometimes going against what popular opinion but is the right choice. The general population are not asked about every single issue. Following an advisory referendum undermines this relationship. No longer in favour offering any referendums due to volaite natural of them. Deeply concerning appears populist politics has hit Westminster. An advisory referendum on capital punishment with the same margin would Westminster be rushing ahead with approving it? Remember no white paper until after you voted, no overseer of the plan. The government has published the white paper after the vote. Unknown how prepared white hall is on the subject. Prime minister having full power and control being unchecked.
Against triggering of article 50 for these reasons.
- Artificial timetable
- No white paper until after MPs voted
- No committees debating the white paper
- No committee overseeing the process during and after
- No cross-party overseer
- Lacking answers on various issues around A50. Can it be stopped can we rejoin.
- Bypassing normal policy creation
- Advisory referendum
- Plan is unknown won’t be seen until a deal is made
- White hall is unprepared and understaffed/funded
- Devolved administration are excluded n the process
- Alternative ignores
Artificial timetable done for domestic political reasons. German/French elections are due to happen this year. Makes no sense to rush ahead given that information. End up wasting one-quarter of the time given to you. Control is taken away from Britain not given to it.
Sovereignty argument is destroyed by the white paper.
2.1 The sovereignty of Parliament is a fundamental principle of the UK constitution. Whilst Parliament has remained sovereign throughout our membership of the EU, it has not always felt like that.
A goal is already achieved, how can be core principle set out in the white paper. MPs elected represented, decided not use these rights have some say. Not been given further say in the process. Process on the table excludes them from having any impact. MPs are running out of time have any real say at all. Further undermining Britain representative democracy. So much for giving control back to the people. Claiming blocking article 50 is undemocratic should look at the undemocratic process ongoing.
Hold out little to no hope that Britain moves towards the fairer better system. Why I expect no social revolution due leaving the European union. British like to kick things down the road no matter the cost. Possible we’re moving closer towards leaving the European union in this case. Would take decades given deep connections made across institutions. A legal system has become deeply bonded together. Major constitutional problems facing us which we kicked down the road.
Constitutional problems ahead here a list.
- Devolved administration unequal partners.
- Lack of check/balances on executive power
- Process is not clearly defined or strong enough
- Institutions are not fully independent
- Margin is not required to rule
- Advisory referendum can impact policy decisions
- United kingdom union is at risk
The whole thing looks like one giant political/economical disaster, waiting to happen. Fail to understand how any rational person can support it. Reading the white paper majority of issues, now subject to discussion. White paper fails to offer any real solutions. Note the united kingdom wants to trigger article 50 in march. No real scrutiny is being applied to any of this. British have great habit kicking away awkward questions this no different.
Now time to ask some awkward questions over my support of the European union. I support the European union due thinking it the natural conservative choice. How much do I value the union? Unsure of the answer being honest. Like united kingdom union don’t give it blanket support. Feel it is important just like Christian values. Not practising Christian for anybody who is curious. A concept is deeply important to me along with the process. Unhappy with current European union but current structure does work. Likewise unhappy with current united kingdom structure. Yet don’t desire to break up the unions. Both have been successful even with some poor policy choices. Don’t see how further centralization by leaving the European union would help us.
Looking forward things don’t look so bright. I see no answers on the table no reason to push ahead.