Category: Politics

Economics, Journal, Politics, Thoughts

Uncertainty, fairy tales and economic myths

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Uncertainty, fairy tales and economic myths

Uncertainty, fairy tales and economic myths three main themes which have become core parts of UK politics. Uncertainty helped win the Scottish referendum, defeat Labour and block military action.  Fairy tales around European union with immigration. Economic myths demonize debt, public spending has become limited as a tool due to political myths.

Uncertainty

Scottish referendum uncertainty around economic policy.  Labour fiscal policy [spending policy] which leads to issues with other policy areas.  Both suffered from a failure to defend records and vision.  SNP controlling Labour line divided Scotland and England.

Uncertainty allowed to grow used to great effect in winning battles but it has created a couple issues which won’t disappear.

Fairy Tales

European union has been turned monster when reality is it not.  Same could be said for immigration and spending policy.

Economic myths

Government borrowing should be reduced any spending should be from the private sector.

All three are linked together uncertainty leads to fairy tales and economic myths.  World at the same time is full of uncertainty geopolitical risk is high with economic.  Established ideology is under attack with powers behind it. Reward behind winning each of these battles is massive remains to be seen who is going to win.

Journal, Labour, Politics, Thoughts

Labour leadership 2015: Impossible choice!

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UK Labour party leadership selection is drawing closer to an end with leader position and bunch other senior positions up for grabs. Labour suffered quite a heavy defeat after the general election in 2010 with 2015 being just as bad.

Labour party suffered a defeat in ideology given the image of being incompetent for the last 5 years.  Party did not have much time for soul searching to review the defeat.  Candidates have to deal with many threats dealing with the Tories claim of fiscal incompetent being the most important.  Problem is only one candidate is willing to tackle the claim of fiscal incompetent. Jeremy Corbyn is the only one willing to challenge the fiscal incompetent claim.

Candidates if they want to be taken serious they need to deal with the claim of fiscal incompetent.  Impossible choice Corbyn or another candidate with more experience on the front bench.

Corbyn is asking the right questions but has the wrong answers. Other leadership candidates need to start asking the same questions but with better answers.  Party should not seek to make the same mistakes as in 2010.  Anybody with a vote is being faced with a impossible choice do we start to tackle the lies or go with the flow.

Which of the candidates can offer with Corbyn does come up with better answers and reach out to Tory swing voters.

Andy Burnham along with Yvette Cooper have started to see this and changed strategy. Now faced with a impossible choice does my first preference to towards Corbyn or Cooper.

 

 

Journal, Labour, Politics

Labour Leadership candidates quick thoughts

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Labour Leadership candidates

Here some quick thoughts on leadership candidates so far.

Liz and Jeremy have made clear their platforms with Andy and Yvette being vague.

Liz Kendall

Part of the Blairite clan but appears the Blairites have disowned her.  Get the feeling she would be able to bring back Tory swing voters and couple other voters groups.  Problem is unlike Tony Blair lacks the same level of charisma and support.  Core focus of her campaign devolution and unions.

She could be a nightmare to fight against however would need support from Blairites clan in order to win.

Jeremy Corbyn

Supporters include anti austerity voters and young voters. Which is amazing given his current age that he has been able to gain support from younger members.  Problem he would face would be convincing parts of New Labour to support his platform.  Many think that anti austerity is a death wish with U turn should happen nearer the time.  Not sure he would be able to swing over Tory voters from 2015 and other groups like SNP block.  However he does appear that he wants to make Labour a movement against with grass roots being most important part.

Core focus of the campaign greenroots and anti austerity.

Andy Burnham

Supporters from the Blairite fraction of the party with his focus being on austerity lite.  Trying to win over swing Tories and core Labour voters with a mix of policy that borrowed from Ed millband.  I don’t think he would lead the party to victory but just more of the same result over Ed Millband.

Maybe he could win but I don’t think he would be able to win based on the method Ed Millband tried.

Core focus is on the NHS and sounding tough on austerity.

Yvette Cooper

Silence so far but a strong women against austerity but won’t shout about it.

Supporters from a range of areas but lacks a clear platform bit like Andy.